Spjelkavikvs
Molde II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spjelkavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 3-3 (6%), 4-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spjelkavik 3-1 Molde II
Original prediction
Spjelkavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.8% | 49.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.6% | 18.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.6% | 32.7% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–46%
Predicted outcome
Spjelkavik
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Spjelkavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 20 · GA 15 · avg 4.00/3.00