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Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Spišská Nová Ves

Spišská Nová Ves

Home
W
21
Full time
Ružomberok II

Ružomberok II

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Spišská Nová Ves34%
Ružomberok II31%
Prediction missed— Result: Spišská Nová Ves
Win probability
Spišská Nová Ves
34%
Draw
35%
Ružomberok II
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Spišská Nová Ves
73
Ružomberok II
34
Defence
Spišská Nová Ves
66
Ružomberok II
27
Momentum
Spišská Nová Ves
100
Ružomberok II
0
Danger (xG)
Spišská Nová Ves
1.80
Ružomberok II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.21 xG for Spišská Nová Ves and 0.84 xG for Ružomberok II. Ružomberok II's projected xG of 0.84 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Spišská Nová Ves's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.06 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Spišská Nová Ves)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Ružomberok II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Spišská Nová Ves)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ružomberok II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves
WW
Ružomberok IIRužomberok II
LL

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Spišská Nová Ves34%
Draw35%
Ružomberok II31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Spišská Nová Ves vs Ružomberok II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Spišská Nová Ves host Ružomberok II in Friendlies Clubs. Spišská Nová Ves have recorded WLLWLW in recent matches while Ružomberok II arrive with a run of WLLLLW. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.21 for Spišská Nová Ves and 0.84 for Ružomberok II. The gap of 1.37 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Spišská Nová Ves have been conceding 1.93 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Spišská Nová Ves 1Draws 00 Ružomberok II
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Spišská Nová Ves
W21
Ružomberok II

Recent form

Spišská Nová Ves

Spišská Nová Ves

W
vs Ružomberok II
15 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Lokomotíva Košice
16 May 2026
30
Ružomberok II

Ružomberok II

L
@ Spišská Nová Ves
15 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Rimavská Sobota
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spišská Nová Ves vs Ružomberok II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Spišská Nová Ves vs Ružomberok II?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Spišská Nová Ves vs Ružomberok II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spišská Nová Ves vs Ružomberok II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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