Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Spišská Nová Ves

Spišská Nová Ves

Home
W
35
Full time
Rimavská Sobota

Rimavská Sobota

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Spišská Nová Ves40%
Draw35%
Rimavská Sobota25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Spišská Nová Ves
40%
Draw
35%
Rimavská Sobota
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Spišská Nová Ves
73
Rimavská Sobota
94
Defence
Spišská Nová Ves
66
Rimavská Sobota
91
Momentum
Spišská Nová Ves
100
Rimavská Sobota
100
Danger (xG)
Spišská Nová Ves
1.80
Rimavská Sobota
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.60 xG for Spišská Nová Ves and 1.13 xG for Rimavská Sobota — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.47), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Spišská Nová Ves)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Rimavská Sobota)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Spišská Nová Ves)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Rimavská Sobota)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves
WW
Rimavská SobotaRimavská Sobota
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Spišská Nová Ves40%
Draw35%
Rimavská Sobota25%

Spišská Nová Ves leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Spišská Nová Ves Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Spišská Nová Ves take on Rimavská Sobota in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.60 for Spišská Nová Ves and 1.13 for Rimavská Sobota. The gap of 0.47 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Spišská Nová Ves

Spišská Nová Ves

W
vs Ružomberok II
15 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Lokomotíva Košice
16 May 2026
30
Rimavská Sobota

Rimavská Sobota

W
vs Ružomberok II
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spišská Nová Ves vs Rimavská Sobota?

GoalVio's model predicts Spišská Nová Ves to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Spišská Nová Ves vs Rimavská Sobota?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Spišská Nová Ves vs Rimavská Sobota?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spišská Nová Ves vs Rimavská Sobota?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more