GGOALVIO

Slovakia · 3. liga - East · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spišská Nová Ves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Spišská Nová Ves 2-0 Poprad

Original prediction

Spišská Nová Ves

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4761.2%40.3%-20.9 pts
Draw3.7723.9%25.9%2.0 pts
Away6.0714.9%33.7%18.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-20.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Spišská Nová Ves

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Spišská Nová Ves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spišská Nová VesLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PopradLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spišská Nová VesPoprad
42.9Attack57.1
61.9Defence66.7
61.9Form57.1
57.8Power60.7
1.15xG1.30
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