Spišská Nová Vesvs
Podbrezová
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 9/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podbrezová · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spišská Nová Ves 1-2 Podbrezová
Original prediction
Podbrezová
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18.70 | 4.8% | 31.6% | 26.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.43 | 10.7% | 21.9% | 11.2 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 84.5% | 46.5% | -38.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Podbrezová
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Podbrezová has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20