Speziavs
Vis Pesaro
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spezia 0-0 Vis Pesaro, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia 3-1 Vis Pesaro
Original prediction
Spezia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.7% | 43.3% | -32.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.54 | 16.3% | 27.9% | 11.6 pts |
| Away | 11.25 | 8.0% | 28.7% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.4 pts
Projected Score
Spezia 0–0 Vis Pesaro
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Spezia
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Spezia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpeziaWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Vis PesaroLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SpeziaVis Pesaro
50.0Attack38.6
50.0Defence70.2
50.0Form50.9
50.0Power54.7
0.83xG0.94