Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia 4-1 Torres
Original prediction
Spezia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Spezia
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Spezia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpeziaDDDLW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TorresWLDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SpeziaTorres
50.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
52.0Power53.0
1.32xG1.13