Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia 2-0 Livorno
Original prediction
Spezia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Spezia
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Spezia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpeziaWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LivornoWDDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SpeziaLivorno
50.0Attack36.1
50.0Defence52.8
50.0Form39.8
50.0Power45.1
1.36xG0.85