Spezia U19vs
Palermo U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/12/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia U19 2-3 Palermo U19
Original prediction
Spezia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.3% | 37.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 26.8% | 26.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 27.9% | 36.4% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Spezia U19
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Spezia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20