Spezia U19vs
Monopoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia U19 0-2 Monopoli U19
Original prediction
Spezia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 43.1% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.7% | 26.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.5% | 30.4% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Spezia U19
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Spezia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80