Spezia U19vs
Latina U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spezia U19 1-5 Latina U19
Original prediction
Spezia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.5% | 45.2% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 25.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.3% | 29.5% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
Spezia U19
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Spezia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00