GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tamworth · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Spennymoor Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tamworth are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tamworth hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the National League - North, while Tamworth holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tamworth

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Tamworth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spennymoor TownWDLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TamworthLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spennymoor TownTamworth
50.0Attack53.6
66.7Defence79.0
66.7Form69.6
64.8Power67.8
0.80xG1.33
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