Spennymoor Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spennymoor Town 2-1 Merthyr Town
Original prediction
Merthyr Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
13.9%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Spennymoor TownDWLLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Spennymoor TownMerthyr Town
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.16xG1.39