Spennymoor Townvs
Macclesfield
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spennymoor Town 1-1 Macclesfield
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.4% | 15.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 21.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.9% | 63.6% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80