Spennymoor Townvs
Hednesford Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spennymoor Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hednesford Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Spennymoor Town hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.8%
Model confidence
13.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20