GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/1/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartans are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rangers U21 are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers U21 hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Rangers U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rangers U21

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Rangers U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpartansLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rangers U21WW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
SpartansRangers U21
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power97.0
1.67xG2.10
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