Spartansvs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartans 0-2 Kelty Hearts
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 07:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.3% | 50.9% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.3% | 24.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.4% | 24.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60