Spartansvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartans 5-1 Forfar Athletic
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.0% | 46.3% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.0% | 27.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.1% | 26.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60