Spartansvs
Elgin City
SCHEDULEDScotland · League Two · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartans are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Elgin City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and elgin City hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League Two, favouring Elgin City with 11.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
11.9%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00