Spartansvs
Elgin City
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartans are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Elgin City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the League Two, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20