GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartans are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Dundee Utd are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee Utd hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the League Cup, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpartansWW

GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 5.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Dundee UtdWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
SpartansDundee Utd
33.3Attack66.7
25.0Defence91.7
25.0Form75.0
30.3Power75.7
1.05xG2.19
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