Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartans are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Clyde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartans hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the League Two, while Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
12.3%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20