Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clyde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartans 3-3 Clyde
Original prediction
Clyde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 34.9% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 25.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 40.1% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Clyde
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Clyde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpartansWDLDD
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ClydeLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SpartansClyde
75.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence75.0
41.7Form75.0
51.6Power72.5
1.42xG1.83