Spartakos Kitiouvs
MEAP Nisou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartakos Kitiou · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartakos Kitiou 4-1 MEAP Nisou
Original prediction
Spartakos Kitiou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 40.2% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 28.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 31.8% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Spartakos Kitiou
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Spartakos Kitiou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60