Spartakos Kitiouvs
Krasava Ypsonas
COMPLETEDCyprus · Cup · 10/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasava Ypsonas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartakos Kitiou 0-2 Krasava Ypsonas
Original prediction
Krasava Ypsonas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.97 | 12.0% | 32.7% | 20.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 20.5% | 25.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 67.5% | 42.1% | -25.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Krasava Ypsonas
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Krasava Ypsonas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60