Spartakos Kitiouvs
Anagennisi Deryneia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartakos Kitiou · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartakos Kitiou 2-3 Anagennisi Deryneia
Original prediction
Spartakos Kitiou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.2% | 57.1% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.7% | 23.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 7.50 | 12.1% | 19.4% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Spartakos Kitiou
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Spartakos Kitiou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40