Spartak Varnavs
Septemvri Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Varna 0-1 Septemvri Sofia
Original prediction
Spartak Varna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Varna
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Spartak VarnaLWWDW
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Septemvri SofiaLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
66.7Attack16.7
58.3Defence25.0
58.3Form8.3
61.6Power21.2
2.23xG0.79