Spartak Varnavs
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 7/16/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Spartak Varna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CSKA 1948 Sofia II are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Second League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Varna
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33