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Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna

Home
D
22
Full time
CSKA 1948

CSKA 1948

Away
D
Stadion Spartak
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Spartak Varna(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Spartak Varna
39%
Draw
27%
CSKA 1948
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Spartak Varna
73
CSKA 1948
73
Defence
Spartak Varna
27
CSKA 1948
27
Momentum
Spartak Varna
33
CSKA 1948
33
Danger (xG)
Spartak Varna
1.80
CSKA 1948
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Spartak Varna)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (CSKA 1948)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Spartak Varna)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (CSKA 1948)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
DL
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
DWWD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Spartak Varna39%
Draw27%
CSKA 194834%

Spartak Varna leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Spartak Varna head into this in First League fixture at Stadion Spartak in mixed form (D), while CSKA 1948 arrive in mixed form (D). Spartak Varna have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for CSKA 1948 over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Spartak Varna (73/100) and CSKA 1948 (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Spartak Varna have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. CSKA 1948 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Spartak Varna to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Spartak Varna 3935%, Draw 2702%, CSKA 1948 3363%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Spartak Varna 0Draws 10 CSKA 1948
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Spartak Varna
D22
CSKA 1948

Recent form

Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna

D
vs CSKA 1948
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Septemvri Sofia
14 May 2026
01
CSKA 1948

CSKA 1948

D
@ Spartak Varna
17 Jul 2026
22
W
vs FK Partizan
29 Jun 2026
30
W
vs Ludogorets
16 May 2026
10
D
@ CSKA Sofia
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948?

GoalVio's model predicts Spartak Varna to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more