Spartak Trnavavs
Slovan Bratislava
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Trnava 0-3 Slovan Bratislava
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 29.3% | 44.5% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.9% | 22.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.8% | 33.4% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80