Spartak Trnavavs
Žilina
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Trnava 1-3 Žilina
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.9% | 57.0% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.7% | 21.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.3% | 21.6% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40