Spartak Trnavavs
FK Košice
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 9/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Trnava 5-2 FK Košice
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.6% | 54.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.9% | 22.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.5% | 22.9% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80