GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/10/2025, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Trnava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BK Hacken are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and BK Hacken hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Spartak Trnava holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Trnava

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak TrnavaWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BK HackenWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak TrnavaBK Hacken
33.3Attack53.3
50.0Defence30.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power38.8
2.02xG1.46
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