Spartak Police n/Metujívs
Letohrad
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Police n/Metují · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Police n/Metují 4-0 Letohrad
Original prediction
Spartak Police n/Metují
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.5% | 62.0% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 17.3% | 17.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.98 | 15.2% | 20.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Police n/Metují
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Spartak Police n/Metují has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00