Spartak Plevenvs
Hebar 1918
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebar 1918 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Pleven 3-2 Hebar 1918
Original prediction
Hebar 1918
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.5% | 29.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 24.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.4% | 46.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Hebar 1918
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Hebar 1918 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60