GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/22/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Pleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Pleven are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Dunav Ruse are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Second League, while Spartak Pleven holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Pleven

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Spartak Pleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak PlevenLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dunav RuseDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak PlevenDunav Ruse
66.7Attack29.4
66.7Defence64.7
77.8Form45.1
72.8Power48.6
1.26xG0.62
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