Spartak Nalchikvs
Mashuk-KMV
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 7/29/2023, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Spartak Nalchik are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Mashuk-KMV are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mashuk-KMV hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 70.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Second League - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00