Spartak Myjavavs
Ružomberok
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ružomberok · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Myjava 0-3 Ružomberok
Original prediction
Ružomberok
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.88 | 15.3% | 33.2% | 18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.4% | 23.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.3% | 42.9% | -21.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Ružomberok
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Ružomberok has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20