Spartak Moskva U19vs
Ural U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Moskva U19 0-1 Ural U20
Original prediction
Spartak Moskva U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.2% | 62.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.8% | 19.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.65 | 16.0% | 18.2% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moskva U19
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80