GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moscow U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Spartak Moskva U19 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rodina Moscow U19 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moscow U19 hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Youth Championship, while Rodina Moscow U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moscow U19

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

8.1%

Rodina Moscow U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak Moskva U19DWWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rodina Moscow U19WDWWW

GF 20 · GA 7 · avg 4.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Spartak Moskva U19Rodina Moscow U19
61.1Attack77.8
37.0Defence57.4
48.1Form66.7
49.7Power66.3
1.63xG2.88
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