Youth ChampionshipYouth Championship
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Spartak Moskva U19

Spartak Moskva U19

Home
L
14
Full time
Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Lokomotiv Moskva U19(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Win probability
Spartak Moskva U19
18%
Draw
35%
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Spartak Moskva U19
34
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
99
Defence
Spartak Moskva U19
1
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
66
Momentum
Spartak Moskva U19
0
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
100
Danger (xG)
Spartak Moskva U19
0.90
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Spartak Moskva U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Lokomotiv Moskva U19)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Spartak Moskva U19)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Lokomotiv Moskva U19)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Spartak Moskva U19Spartak Moskva U19
LDD
Lokomotiv Moskva U19Lokomotiv Moskva U19
WW

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Spartak Moskva U1918%
Draw35%
Lokomotiv Moskva U1947%

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Spartak Moskva U19 head into this in Youth Championship fixture in mixed form (L), while Lokomotiv Moskva U19 arrive in mixed form (W). Spartak Moskva U19 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Lokomotiv Moskva U19 over 1 games.

Tactically, Lokomotiv Moskva U19 hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Spartak Moskva U19 defence (1/100), while Spartak Moskva U19's attack faces a solid Lokomotiv Moskva U19 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Spartak Moskva U19 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. Lokomotiv Moskva U19 have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Lokomotiv Moskva U19 to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Spartak Moskva U19 1825%, Draw 3500%, Lokomotiv Moskva U19 4675%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Spartak Moskva U19 0Draws 01 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Spartak Moskva U19
L14
Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Recent form

Spartak Moskva U19

Spartak Moskva U19

L
vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19
17 Jul 2026
14
D
@ Dynamo Makhachkala U19
24 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Ural U20
15 May 2026
33
Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Lokomotiv Moskva U19

W
@ Spartak Moskva U19
17 Jul 2026
41
W
@ Zenit U19
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spartak Moskva U19 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Lokomotiv Moskva U19 to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moskva U19 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Spartak Moskva U19 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spartak Moskva U19 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more