Spartak Moskva U19vs
Krasnodar U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Moskva U19 0-0 Krasnodar U19
Original prediction
Krasnodar U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.4% | 26.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 23.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.8% | 49.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar U19
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60