GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 4/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Spartak Moskva U19 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chertanovo U20 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moskva U19 hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Youth Championship, while Spartak Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moskva U19

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

8.6%

Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak Moskva U19LWDWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo U20DWLDL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak Moskva U19Chertanovo U20
57.9Attack40.4
36.8Defence22.8
45.6Form29.8
47.8Power34.5
3.06xG1.37
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