GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zenit are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ZenitWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak MoscowZenit
83.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
89.7Power98.0
1.45xG1.28
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