Spartak Moscowvs
Zenit
SCHEDULEDRussia · Premier League · 8/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zenit are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and zenit hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring Spartak Moscow with 13.4% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
13.4%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40