Spartak Moscowvs
Rubin
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Rubin, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Moscow 4-0 Rubin
Original prediction
Spartak Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 66.6% | 64.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 20.8% | 22.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 7.52 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60