Spartak Moscowvs
FC Rostov
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Moscow 3-0 FC Rostov
Original prediction
Spartak Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 56.6% | 49.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.5% | 25.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20