Spartak Moscowvs
FC Orenburg
SCHEDULEDRussia · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Moscow are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
11.3%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20