GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

11.3%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC OrenburgDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence44.4
100.0Form44.4
89.7Power43.8
1.95xG0.89
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