Spartak Moscowvs
FC Orenburg
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 7/23/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Moscow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60