GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/23/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowWDWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC OrenburgDDDDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence44.4
100.0Form44.4
89.7Power43.8
1.95xG0.89
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