Spartak Moscowvs
Baltika
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 7/31/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Moscow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Baltika are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00