GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 5/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tver · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tver are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tver hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Second League - Group 2, while Tver holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tver

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak Moscow 2WWLDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TverLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak Moscow 2Tver
31.3Attack52.9
50.0Defence41.2
31.3Form37.3
40.5Power44.6
1.17xG1.47
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